February 2019 Performance
I was able to squeak out a gain in February despite the negative
performance in Constellation Brands, which is the second largest position in
the portfolio. Investors didn’t like what they heard with Constellation Brands (Ticker: STZ) at
the CAGNY conference and sold off the stock. I didn’t hear anything concerning
with Constellation Brands during the CAGNY conference other than a slight down
tick in beer growth, which is expected. I like the fact they are
focusing on returning ~ $4.5 billion to investors through share buy backs and
dividends over the next 3 years. Constellation Brands is a money making machine
with significant upside if Canopy Growth works out.
In terms of the merger arb game, I’ve been building a position (long
common and short puts) in Spark Therapeutics (Ticker: ONCE), which is being acquired by Roche (Ticker: RHHBY) for $114.50 in cash via a tender offer. This deal should close in early April.
I see no antitrust issues so this one should be smooth sailing with a closing within
~ 45 days of announcement.
The way the market is rocketing up, I just hope I can keep pace. I’m
not going to chase anything, but just continue to focus on high probability arb
plays and let my growth stocks do their thing.
2019 Performance = +11.37% with the running monthly returns as follows:
January +7.4%
January +7.4%
February +3.7%