June 2019 Performance
June was a month where calmer heads prevailed
with the resolution of the Mexico tariff threat. This obviously affected Constellation
Brands, which manufactures most of their beer in Mexico. Also, the earnings
report helped to alleviate fears in the slow down of their beer biz. I continue
to maintain a ~ 20% + position in Constellation Brands and have no reason to
sell anytime soon. This company is benefiting from the mega trend in the beer
biz as the old legacy brands from Coors and Bud continue their decline.
Everything from what I can see points to continue growth in the Mexican beer
biz. Finally, I’ll be interesting to see how their stake in Canopy growth plays
out with the introduction of marijuana edibles such as beverages coming this
December for the Canadian market.
Surprisingly, all my other long holdings (Apple,
Alibaba, Mastercard, Qiagen, Sanofi and Visa) generated positive gains in June.
I continue to maintain a very conservative tilt by holding some cash. It’s not
bad with cash yielding ~ 2% in this environment. Much better than the near 0%
in the previous years.
In terms of risk arb plays, I did play around with
Red Hat via Short Puts. I’ve recently closed out my position with a small gain.
I went in big and just didn’t feel comfortable with such risk. So, I’m back to
no arb / special situation positions.
Maintaining the status quo…
2019 Performance = +24.94% with the running
monthly returns as follows:
January +7.4%
February +3.7%
March +5.06%
April +7.15%
May -7.90%
January +7.4%
February +3.7%
March +5.06%
April +7.15%
May -7.90%
June +8.2%