More Nexen and Some Dollar Thrifty
I added to my Nexen, Inc. (Ticker: NXY) position today at $25.71 with an average cost basis of $25.75. I like the odds as the November 11 deadline approaches. Like I said before, this deal is positive for both Canada and China. Of course there will probably be some conditions placed on the approval of the merger, but it shouldn’t be a deal breaker. This will be the start of a symbiotic relation between these two countries.
I also picked up a few shares of Dollar Thrifty Automotive
Group, Inc. (Ticker: DTG) today at $85.06. Hertz Global Holdings, Inc. (Ticker: HTZ) has agreed to acquire Dollar Thrifty for $87.50 in cash. The FTC needs more time to review this deal and Hertz
has agreed to an extension not to close this deal before November 16. I wouldn’t
be surprised if the deal closed shortly after the extension date. I'm factoring in a closing by the end of November, which would equate to a potential total return of 2.86% (~ 23% annualized return assuming a closing by November 30).
4 Comments:
Surprising news from canada over the weekend on foreign acquirers - NXY looks quite speculative now
Yes, the headline news in the rejection of Progress Energy & Petronas was a big surprise, but I don't think the risk profile in the Nexen + Cnooc merger has changed much. I added to my Nexen position today.
Now DTG is getting FTC pressure... tough times for merger arb
Fortunately, DTG is not a big position. Just need to be patient and not over react, but definitely, need to be careful out there.
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